Category Archives: History

Defamation as Dispossession: Big Oil Uses Courts to Censure Nation and Greenpeace

A North Dakota judge just finalized erasure of Native American rights with an absurd $345 million judgment. It claims to be against Greenpeace for, among other things, defamation of Energy Transfer during the Dakota Access Pipeline protests. The defamation finding is bullshit. It rests on two very political and narrow claims the jury decided: that the pipeline crossed Standing Rock Sioux tribal land, and that DAPL personnel desecrated sacred burial grounds.

Read that again.

The defamation verdict requires the court to rule that Indigenous people’s own claims about their land and sacred sites are not just disputed but demonstrably false because the billionaire white men of Big Oil say so.

That’s 1800s disinformation at work in 2026.

Erasure Mechanism

The Standing Rock Sioux’s position that the pipeline crosses their land is grounded in the 1851 Fort Laramie Treaty, which established boundaries the federal government subsequently ignored.

Whether the pipeline “crosses tribal land” depends on a legal framework you recognize. Do you believe in the treaty that the United States signed, or in the illegal seizures that followed?

The burial ground claim reflects what tribal members themselves reported about construction disturbance to sacred sites — reports that prompted challenges to the Army Corps of Engineers’ own environmental review as inadequate.

Greenpeace didn’t fabricate these claims. They amplified what Indigenous people were saying about their own land, their own treaties, their own sacred places. To find those statements “demonstrably false,” the jury had to accept Energy Transfer’s legal framework as the only valid one — ruling the tribe’s understanding of their territory out of existence as a prerequisite for the verdict.

The people whose dispossession created the underlying dispute got erased twice: first from their land, then from the factual record.

Oil Fumbled and Dropped the Ball to Win the Match

Energy Transfer quietly withdrew all defamation claims related to Greenpeace’s water and climate statements before trial. The core environmental and public health arguments that motivated the entire protest — the reason thousands of people showed up — were too defensible to take before a jury. What remained were narrower claims about treaty boundaries and burial grounds, reframed as simple factual falsehoods rather than the contested historical and legal disputes they actually are.

Energy Transfer’s former CEO Kelcy Warren fought to avoid deposition entirely, and the company argued that pipeline safety documents were “patently irrelevant” once they dropped the water and climate claims. Strip away the substance of the dispute, leave only the claims you can win by denying Indigenous legal standing, and call it defamation.

$50 Million Charge for a UN Report

The judgment includes tens of millions of dollars against Greenpeace International for co-signing a letter with over 500 other organizations that echoed findings from United Nations reports. The UN recognized the Indigenous position. Hundreds of organizations recognized it. A jury in Morton County, North Dakota — where the pipeline is critical infrastructure — said it was all false anyway.

Greenpeace International’s entire involvement in the on-the-ground protests amounted to six employees visiting the camps. Their real offense was lending institutional credibility to Indigenous claims that Energy Transfer needed erased.

SLAPP Architecture

North Dakota has no anti-SLAPP statute. There was no procedural mechanism to challenge the reframing of contested historical claims as defamation before it reached a jury. Energy Transfer’s first attempt was a federal RICO lawsuit — the statute designed to prosecute organized crime — which a federal judge dismissed in 2019, stating the evidence fell “far short.” So they refiled in state court with state law claims, in a jurisdiction where the pipeline moves 40% of North Dakota’s oil production.

That structure is textbook aggression: use a legal system that lacks procedural safeguards, in a venue with maximum structural bias, to convert political speech into tortious conduct. Greenpeace has countersued in the Netherlands under the EU’s anti-SLAPP Directive — the first test of that law — because the American system provided no defense against the strategy.

The Actual Verdict

Defamation doctrine distinguishes between statements of fact and expressions of opinion or rhetorical hyperbole. Protest speech has historically received strong protection precisely because reasonable listeners understand it as advocacy, not factual reporting. This verdict collapses that distinction entirely.

But the deeper problem isn’t doctrinal. It’s that the entire defamation finding is constructed on a foundation of Indigenous erasure. You can only call “this pipeline crosses tribal land” a false statement of fact if you’ve already decided that tribal land claims don’t exist. The 1851 treaty doesn’t count. The tribe’s understanding of their own territory doesn’t count. The UN’s recognition doesn’t count. Only Energy Transfer’s title, derived from the very dispossession being protested, counts.

Defamation law became the instrument for completing what the pipeline started.

The land was taken.

Now the right just to admit the truth and say it was taken has been priced by an American court at $345 million.

Dorsey’s Letter of Marque Signals Trouble for Block: Half the Crew Dumped Overboard to Stay Afloat

Jack Dorsey fired over 4,000 people on Thursday — basically half of Block’s workforce — during a profitable year, then told the rest of the tech industry to do the same. The stock jumped 23%. That sequence tells you what actually happened and why.

Block posted $1.3 billion in profit. Gross profit grew 24% year over year. Cash App surged 33%. Dorsey himself called it a “strong year.” Then he immediately gutted the company and framed failure as visionary leadership, writing in his shareholder letter that “tools have changed what it means to build and run a company.”

Tools. They haven’t changed what it means. They’ve changed how to destroy value.

Numbers Behind Narrative

Block had 3,835 employees at the end of 2019. Dorsey’s vision was to triple that to over 12,500 by the end of 2022, intentionally building redundant parallel structures for Square and Cash App. The stock peaked at $281 in August 2021. It closed Thursday at $54, crashing down over 80% from the high. Now the after-hours bump on layoff news pushed it toward $67.

So the actual story isn’t CEO use of “tools changed everything in December.” The actual story is that Dorsey overhired massively during COVID, mismanaged the organizational structure by his own admission, watched the stock collapse for four years, and is now using tools as the explanation for a correction that has nothing to do with technical capability and everything to do with executive failure.

Executive failure. I’ll say it again.

He admitted on X that he “incorrectly built 2 separate company structures rather than 1”, yet somehow that isn’t the headline. Wharton’s Ethan Mollick pointed out that given how new effective AI tools actually are, “it is hard to imagine a firm-wide sudden 50%+ efficiency gain that justifies massive organizational cuts.”

Allow me to explain. It’s hard to imagine because it didn’t happen.

What happened is a CEO found a narrative that Wall Street would reward him while he screwed the people he was responsible for.

Assembly Line Test

Here’s how you know this isn’t innovation: look at actual innovation and headcount.

Henry Ford didn’t copy the European moving assembly line and then fire half his workers. He hired massively, doubled wages to $5 a day, and scaled production from thousands of cars to millions. The resistance came from craft workers worried about displacement. The actual outcome was more jobs at higher pay producing dramatically more output. That’s what real tool adoption looks like, leading to expansion of capacity, not extraction of labor.

The steam engine didn’t shrink navies. It expanded operational range, mission tempo, and fleet size. You retrain the crew. You don’t throw them overboard.

When a CEO fires half the company during a record profit year and the stock jumps 23%, that’s not an efficiency gain. That’s cynical destruction of the crew that made delivery possible.

Pirates Had Articles

The distinction matters if you know history. Actual pirates, like the ones flying black flags in the Caribbean, operated under articles of agreement. They elected their captains. They voted on major decisions. They split loot according to pre-agreed shares. They even had disability provisions: lose a right arm in battle, receive 600 pieces of eight. Lose an eye, 100. These compensation structures predated any national welfare system by centuries.

You couldn’t be a Dorsey and throw crew overboard on a pirate ship because the crew had collective power over the operation. The captain served at the pleasure of the people doing the actual work.

English buccaneers of the Crown were the Dorsey model. King-licensed exploitation and extraction. Rape and pillage. The letter of marque made everything legal so long as the loot flowed upward. Crews were expendable because the authority structure came from the above crown and trading companies, not from the workers themselves.

The East India Company didn’t share profits with sailors. It consumed them and spat out bones. Crews died of scurvy and abuse at rates that would count as attrition strategy, not negligence. When a voyage was done, survivors got dumped in port towns with nothing.

Dorsey’s Marque

Dorsey’s shareholder letter is a letter of marque. The crown is Wall Street. The 23% stock jump is the loot delivery. And the 4,000 people aren’t crew with articles and shared stakes because they’re disposable labor in a colonial extraction model where the entire point is to minimize the number of people who get a cut.

The “AI monster” framing is the modern version of “the sea monster took them.”

It externalizes the decision to an impersonal force so leadership never has to own the choice. But Dorsey made the choice. During a profitable year. After years of mismanagement he’s now acknowledged. And the market rewarded him for it, which is exactly how the crown rewarded buccaneers. The system was less about building anything to last, more about doing more immediately with less overhead.

His warning that “most companies are late” to the same “realization” reads less like strategic insight and more like herd mentality for CEOs to do what they already wanted to do. It’s CYA dressed as vision. The same pattern you’d expect from someone who already ran this play at Twitter, where mass layoffs were the default move regardless of rationale.

The $2 Million Target

Dorsey’s stated goal is $2 million in gross profit per employee — four times the pre-COVID level of roughly $500,000 per head. That number sounds like an efficiency metric. It’s actually a concentration metric. It measures how few people get to share in the value the company produces. A company generating $12.2 billion in gross profit with 6,000 workers isn’t more innovative than one doing it with 10,000.

It’s more extractive. Colonial plantations by the British ran this principle.

Ford’s assembly line made cars cheaper and workers richer. Dorsey’s “intelligence-native company” makes shareholders richer and workers gone. One is industrialization. The other is ruthless extractive enclosure by fencing off the commons and charging rent for standing on it.

Block will spend $450 to $500 million on restructuring charges, mostly severance. That’s the cost of dumping 4,000 people overboard. The 23% stock jump added roughly $4 billion in market cap in a single evening. The math of extraction always works for the people holding the letter of marque, and only them

Competent captains made crews successful and expanded capability. The ones who dumped people overboard were either panicking or looking for an excuse to run a skeleton crew at maximum extraction. Dorsey’s stock price tells you which one the market thinks he is. History will tell you which one he actually was.

Desch Nuts: Foreign Affairs Publishes Koch-Funded Anti-Ukraine Propaganda

Foreign Affairs published a Koch brothers propaganda puff piece today, attributed to Michael C. Desch of Notre Dame.

Why?

It plays dumb while trying to be serious and claim that Ukraine should surrender to Russia. Of course Koch nuts would say that. They dropped it hot during live negotiations, as if academics are just hired guns to provide cover for whatever the Trump administration is about to impose on Kyiv. The author and all that big money behind him however give away the game.

The article is titled plainly “Ukraine Is Losing the War” without a timeline. Today? Last year? Always and forever no matter what? See the dumb trick?

Then it is subtitled “With Moscow Pressing Its Advantage, Kyiv Should Trade Land for Peace.” In just 5,000 words it manages to stumble and crash into at least nine major logical contradictions.

Given how much disinformation was being stuffed down the throat of Foreign Affairs editors, it should surprise nobody Russian-language media was celebrating within hours of publication. Yet the historical reasoning alone would fail any LSE seminar I ever took. Foreign Affairs owes its readers an explanation, if not a retraction. In the meantime, I’ll take a poke at what’s really going on.

Desch Keeps Punching Himself in the Nuts

# Desch Claims Then Also Claims Nut Punch
1 Mass and resources make Ukrainian resistance futile Post-surrender Ukraine should build drone defenses and pursue battlefield innovation Prescribes the same technology-over-mass strategy he spent 3,000 words saying doesn’t work
2 Russian war aims expanded at every stage (Minsk to recognition to annexation of four oblasts) Conceding the Donbas would satisfy Moscow His own evidence documents serial escalation after each accommodation
3 The Donbas is not the Sudetenland because Russian tactics are not blitzkrieg Munich was about appeasement dynamics, not Wehrmacht tactics. Refutes a comparison nobody made
4 At current rates it would take Russia 30 years to conquer east-bank Ukraine Ukraine should stop fighting and lose Western support The 30-year timeline depends on the Western assistance he wants to end
5 Ukraine’s 36 million population cannot match Russia’s 140 million Russia has 700,000 troops in theater vs. Ukraine’s 300,000 Operational ratio is 2.3:1, not the 4:1 demographic ratio he leads with
6 Russia’s GDP at PPP is $7 trillion vs. Ukraine’s $657 billion PPP inflates domestic purchasing power, not capacity to buy weapons on international markets. Nominal GDP puts Russia near Italy
7 Ukrainian corruption undermines fortifications and recruitment Russia’s corruption is absorbed by its size Russian corruption collapsed logistics at Kyiv, lost 1,000+ tanks, and sank the Moskva. Scale multiplies procurement corruption
8 Western technology has not given Ukraine a decisive edge Russian technological innovation (fiber-optic drones, ISR-enabled artillery) is providing decisive advantages Technology is irrelevant when the West provides it, decisive when Russia deploys it
9 The Surovikin Line proves Ukraine cannot breach fortified positions Ukraine should not build similar fortifications because Russian infiltration defeats them Russian fortifications work. Ukrainian fortifications would not. Logic runs whichever way the conclusion needs

The table speaks for itself, hopefully. Foreign Affairs should be ashamed. Now let’s look deeper at the disinformation methods.

Rigged Numbers

Desch compares Ukraine’s population of 36 million to Russia’s 140 million as though Russia can send its entire male population to just one meat grinder.

Russia has a 4,000-mile border with China, commitments in Syria, internal security requirements across eleven time zones, and a domestic economy that requires workers. His own operational numbers of 300,000 Ukrainian troops versus 700,000 Russian show a much narrower gap than raw population figures, but he buries this operational reality under a demographic spectacle.

Why?

Then he uses purchasing power parity to inflate Russia’s GDP to $7 trillion, making it look like a near-peer competitor. Their nominal GDP, measuring the actual capacity to purchase weapons systems on international markets, deflates Russia’s economy to roughly the size of Italy’s. Everyone knows this and says it repeatedly. Russia is like Italy, yet he tries to make it seem so much bigger.

Again, why?

PPP measures how many bad haircuts you can buy in Novosibirsk, not how many precision-guided munitions could be imported.

Russian contract soldiers, known for their low morale, somehow get inflated as more motivated than Ukrainian conscripts. The piece inverts everything documented about defensive warfare psychology. Ukrainians are fighting for their homes. Russian “volunteers” are bored, annoyed, reluctant, disproportionately recruited from impoverished regions by financial incentives they distrust. The claim that cheap mercenaries outperform homeland defenders contradicts everything everyone knows about combat motivation.

Corruption as Hypocrisy

Desch flags corruption as undermining the war effort, but not Russian corruption. No, he acts like only corruption in Ukraine matters. Fortifications not built, recruitment compromised? He waves away Russian corruption by arguing it simply “absorbs the damage.” But Russian military corruption is the very reason they lost over a thousand tanks in the first year, the reason logistics collapsed north of Kyiv, the reason the Moskva sank. Scale does not neutralize corruption in military procurement. It actually multiplies it, meaning Ukraine has less of a problem.

Then he prescribes “comprehensive political and economic reforms” and “a serious anticorruption effort” for post-surrender Ukraine. Part of the reason for the war was Ukraine was cracking down on Russian corruption. Calling that a solution after the war is like totally ignoring the causes. If corruption undermines Ukrainian fortification-building during a war for survival, why would it suddenly resolve after a demoralizing territorial surrender? He identifies corruption as the disease and surrender to corruption as the cure.

Technology Only Works for the Hero

Desch argues that Western technology has not given Ukraine a decisive edge. He then spends several paragraphs detailing Russian technological innovation (e.g. fiber-optic drones, infiltration tactics, ISR-enabled artillery) as if these are decisive advantages. Well, which is it? Technology matters enormously when Russia deploys it. When the West provides it to Ukraine, suddenly it is irrelevant.

He cites the Surovikin Line as proof that Ukraine cannot advance through fortified positions. He then argues Ukraine should not bother building similar fortifications because Russian infiltration tactics can defeat them. Russian fortifications prove offense is impossible. Ukrainian fortifications would be useless against offense.

Follow the Money

Desch is not a random academic voice.

He sits on the advisory board of the John Quincy Adams Society, which is funded by the Charles Koch Foundation and operates within a “let bad guys win because profit” ecosystem that includes the Quincy Institute, Defense Priorities, and the Cato Institute’s foreign policy shop. His Notre Dame colleague Eugene Gholz sits on the same board. His daughter was a JQAS Marcellus Policy Fellow. Their ideological pipeline has consistent output toxic to analysts: NATO caused the problems, whatever they are, Ukraine is not vital to anyone, and the answer is accommodation of Russia because authoritarian rule is good for profit.

Desch has been saying exactly this since before the invasion. In January 2022, he told Newswise that “the way out of this crisis is the neutralization of Ukraine.” Weeks later, in February 2022, he told Notre Dame’s student paper that Russia was unlikely to invade because Putin was just posturing for diplomatic concessions. The full-scale invasion followed shortly after.

This Koch lineage now makes a funding trail into the case study of laundered influence.

Fred Koch built his fortune constructing oil refineries for Stalin’s Soviet Union in the 1930s, then built the third-largest refinery serving the Third Reich. Soviet money and Nazi money became Koch Industries money. He came home, co-founded the John Birch Society in 1958, called Eisenhower a communist dupe, fought the civil rights movement as a Soviet plot, and bankrolled McCarthyism. Charles Koch held a lifetime JBS membership and funded its bookstores distributing attacks on Martin Luther King.

The sons inherited the fortune of refined Soviet and Nazi crude. They laundered it through decades of right-wing institution-building, setting a precedent for Peter Thiel, and now fund academics arguing we should accommodate Russian territorial expansion. The empire that literally built Stalin’s oil infrastructure finances the intellectual apparatus telling us to let Moscow keep what it has taken.

This is how old big dirty money works.

No need to wire funds from the Kremlin direct to Notre Dame with a magazine piece purchase order. Instead, build infrastructure for dictators, convert profits into a political network, fund the network for generations, and eventually the network produces a Foreign Affairs article arguing that dictators should get to keep conquests so they can order more infrastructure. Ka-ching!

The money has been cleaned by the time it reaches the endowed chair. The conclusions are a starting point within the institution, to which evidence is curated.

Editorial Decision Time

Foreign Affairs historically publishes pieces aligned with administration policy preferences. This piece reads like pre-positioning and intellectual cover for whatever territorial concessions the Trump team plans to impose. Within hours, Pravda USA was summarizing it approvingly. The article’s framing maps perfectly onto Russian information warfare messaging.

I’m not saying Desch needs to coordinate with Moscow. It means the Koch school’s output gets laundered through Russian media with zero friction because the conclusions are structurally identical to what Putin needs.

Foreign Affairs editors know how to count logical contradictions, right?

They know what PPP does and does not measure, right?

They know the Munich analogy is about appeasement dynamics, not blitzkrieg tactics, right?

They know that prescribing post-surrender reform to a country whose wartime morale is already collapsing is not serious analysis, right?

They published this weak-sauce article anyway, on the day it would do the most work for Putin and Trump, by an author embedded in a network funded by a fortune that traces back to Stalin and Hitler.

Any trained historian can see what this is. Desch perhaps believes what he wrote, and maybe even enjoys the public self-flagellation. The question is why Foreign Affairs enabled him.

Even Sex With 13 Year Olds Doesn’t Distract Trump From War With Iran

Have you seen the latest Epstein files? Photos of Trump with all those young girls trafficked for sex?

Source: Epstein Files

Testimony about him hitting a 13-year-old in the head when she bit his penis?

Trump bragged that the files would exonerate him. They continue to do the opposite. But even these child sex crime investigations only play background to his latest rushed march into war.

In June, Trump told the world that Iran’s nuclear program had been “completely and totally obliterated.” He gloated that he bombed Iran so hard he would take the Nobel Peace Prize. The White House tried to back him up with a page calling anyone who doubted Trump’s announcement a purveyor of “fake news.”

It’s impossible not to think of Nixon claiming “peace with honor” in Vietnam while burying the reality that the war was unwinnable — a fact the Pentagon Papers had already proved.

Well, guess who doubts Trump now? Trump.

Eight months from announcing the end of nuclear programs, the pathological liar just said to Congress that Iran is “starting it all over” and pursuing “sinister nuclear ambitions” that require a devastating strike.

As usual, Trump contradicts himself and therefore cannot be trusted. At least one statement is a calculated lie. The evidence says both are.

The DIA’s own early classified assessment found that only one of the three nuclear sites that Trump unilaterally bombed in Operation Midnight Hammer was arguably inoperable.

One of three. That’s a miss.

The other two continued operating, clearly not eliminated as told. The obvious question is why lie about the job being finished, since he could have said then that another strike is on the table. While Trump called everyone who disagreed the liars, the IAEA’s director general said Iran could resume enrichment within months, which is literally what’s happened. Trump’s own Director of National Intelligence also assessed in 2025 that Iran was “not building a nuclear weapon.” So Trump not only lied about the effectiveness of American attacks, he publicly repudiated his own intelligence chief, undermining truth about the threat, without providing evidence.

The obliteration lie was used to sell military waste as an easy decision. The imminent threat now is a lie told to justify the next failure.

The whole propaganda track is sequential fabrication to cover up a deranged political agenda. It’s far more likely Trump demands Tehran build a giant triumphal yellow arch with his name on it than that he cares at all about Iranian weapons programs.

Trump’s Yellow ICBM Cake

The Niger yellowcake forgery has been updated. Trump lied to Congress when he claimed missiles in Iran will “soon reach the United States of America.”

His own Defense Intelligence Agency said last year that Iran could develop a militarily viable ICBM by 2035 at the earliest, even if it decided to pursue one. It hasn’t decided, so the date keeps slipping further away. That’s why Secretary of State Rubio wouldn’t commit to a timeline when pressed. The US intelligence community has been wrong on this exact prediction for a quarter century. Remember the 1999 estimate predicted Iranian ICBM flight tests by 2010? That deadline passed sixteen years ago. Iran has no strategic incentive to change. Trump offered none, a huge red flag that none of this is real.

The reason the prediction keeps failing is that an ICBM aimed at America is mission suicide. It is the kind of mistake that would unite American public opinion and trigger total response. No rational actor invites that. And between the two countries, America looks less and less like the rational one. After all, who is the one saying drop a big one, with no strategic outcome attached?

The actual Iranian missile threat is the one Trump repeatedly fails to address. Iran’s huge battle-tested medium-range arsenal, deployed without hesitation during the 12-day war with Israel last June, can already strike every American base across the Middle East and parts of Europe. Ramstein. Aviano. Incirlik. The Gulf installations. That capability is proven. It’s current inventory and has a combat record. But “our bases in Germany are vulnerable” doesn’t sell preemptive war to an American audience that can’t find Ukraine on a map.

So, can you guess why Soviet-era propaganda about big bad foreign missiles landing on Indiana is being presented to Congress?

45 Years of Failing to Crack Iran

The United States has been trying since the 1950s, and the record since 1978 has been uninterrupted failure.

Reagan’s team was the worst. They negotiated with Tehran to delay the hostage release until after the 1980 election, actively using Iran to destroy Carter’s presidency. Then came Iran-Contra: the same administration that publicly backed Saddam’s invasion of Iran secretly sold weapons to Tehran and used the proceeds to fund illegal wars in Central America. What a shit show. Iran was an instrument of American power used first to cheat a domestic election, then as an off-books ATM for crimes against humanity. That Reagan guy, what an embarrassment to America.

And even with full-spectrum American backing, Saddam couldn’t break Iran. We basically ran his war into the ground. The DIA provided satellite intelligence on Iranian troop positions. The CIA funneled billions through Gulf states. The Commerce Department licensed dual-use exports that became chemical weapons precursors. Reagan sent Rumsfeld to shake Saddam’s hand in 1983. Washington provided the targeting data Iraq used for chemical strikes on Iranian positions, and knew it. Washington reflagged Kuwaiti tankers and engaged the Iranian navy directly in 1988.

A solid eight years of American-backed conventional invasion, and Iran fought them all to a stalemate. America caused over a million Iranian casualties and the regime didn’t fall.

That’s the lesson this administration refuses to learn: Iran has been war-tested against American-backed conventional assault and came out stronger than America’s biggest regional ally. Bannon’s takeaway isn’t caution — it’s that proxies failed and only direct American force remains.

Now Bannon’s civilizational war theory, which he pitched to a Vatican conference in 2014 about an existential struggle between the “Judeo-Christian West” and Islamic power, has become the operating doctrine of Trump’s second term. Bannon pushed for tearing up the JCPOA not because it was a bad deal but because diplomacy with Iran contradicted the regime change objective. The MEK lobby, the cultish exile group that pays Bolton and Giuliani to speak at its rallies, has been the vehicle for this project for decades. Bannon’s war and the MEK’s war are the same war: permanent confrontation engineered to produce regime collapse.

The difference is that this time there’s no proxy. They’re proposing direct war against a country that already absorbed everything American-backed force could deliver — and survived.

The Gap in the Missile Gap

The fake threat inflation is well known to historians of the Cold War. Eisenhower knew the “bomber gap” was fabricated. He knew the “missile gap” was fabricated. It didn’t matter. JFK successfully ran on fear. The defense industry got big juicy contracts. The intelligence was irrelevant because the political utility of war was the whole point.

The difference from then is that the Soviet ICBM threat was real. They built them, deployed them, and aimed them at American cities. Iran hasn’t even committed to a program. Trump is running Cold War brinkmanship against a country that lacks what made the original version possible.

Same Warmonger Different Day

The bone-spur belligerent pattern is now explicit. Last summer Trump claimed he alone obliterated a nuclear program, mission accomplished, anyone who disagrees is fake news. This week he claims their nuclear program continues, developing long-range missiles to hit American cities, and he has to obliterate them this time. The administration’s own special envoy has started saying Iran is “probably a week away” from achieving bomb-grade material — for a program the president said wouldn’t exist.

These are purposeful and sequential lies calibrated to different moments. The obliteration claim covered up the failure of the first strike. The imminent threat claim erases any assessment of mission objectives as necessary let alone able to succeed. Neither is true when stated. Both serve warmongering for politicians who already decided to fight.

Trump talks about striking Iran the way he allegedly treated a 13-year-old girl, like he can punch down and there will be no consequences.

The reality of war with Iran is nothing like assaulting a child in a system built to look the other way. This is a country that absorbed eight years of American-backed invasion, over a million casualties, and chemical weapons, and came out the other side with its government and military stronger. And then Iraq, just like Panama before it, was severely punished by the CIA for the failures of the CIA. Saddam was an American asset until he wasn’t, just as Noriega was. Iran watched both disposals and drew the obvious conclusion.

Trump’s lies to Congress are far worse than pretext. They’re the words of the man who has never faced a consequence in his life, preparing to start a war against a nation that has faced nearly every consequence imaginable and is still standing for a reason.