Category Archives: Security

The Hindenburg of AI Crashes Every Day, and Nobody Cares

Oxford’s Wooldridge “glorified spreadsheets” speech shows he understands AI isn’t what people think it is, but his institutional position requires him to frame the problem as a future discrete risk rather than admit a present constant reality.

The Royal Society lecture circuit doesn’t reward him saying “the disasters already happened, they are ongoing, and you enabled them, look at yourselves.”

He may as well be trying to convert people to Christianity by saying just wait until you meet Jesus. Sin now, someday later you can repent.

Looking for the catastrophe to give conviction to act, when the evidence demanding action has been accumulating the entire time, isn’t moral. It’s the same pattern as climate change denial: waiting for some mystical moment of belief instead of reading the data already in hand.

The Hindenburg was not somehow uniquely catastrophic. It killed sentiment because it was undeniable. Thirty-six people died on camera in front of reporters. That’s what made it different from every other airship failure — not the scale of harm, but the impossibility of looking away.

AI failures are designed for the opposite. They’re individualized, distributed, buried in terms of service and corporate liability shields that punch down. UnitedHealth’s algorithm denies claims at scale and patients die at home. Tesla’s software kills owners and pedestrians on public roads. AI-generated police reports fabricate evidence. Chatbots drive people toward self-harm and suicide. Each one is isolated, litigated, settled quietly. No cameras. No film at eleven.

Teslas notoriously and repeatedly “veer” uncontrollably and crash. Design defects (e.g. Pinto doors) trap occupants and burn dozens of people to death as horrified witnesses and emergency responders watch helplessly. Source: VoCoFM, Korea, 2024

This is a celebrity-only model of societal risk. Elites wait for a signal dramatic enough to care about, while the harms they enabled accumulate below their threshold of attention. It treats Pearl Harbor as a motivating catastrophe only because of the spoiled beauty of Hawaii and the loss of big ships. The actual failure was years of threat assessments ignored, warnings dismissed, intelligence misread. Willful ignorance has a huge societal cost, and it’s enabled by those who perform it at the top.

Wooldridge is warning about a future singular catastrophe that kills public confidence. The actual pattern is thousands of distributed catastrophes that never coalesce into a single spectacular image, because powerful institutions work to prevent exactly that. Don’t keep waiting for the one dramatic event that will finally wake everyone up. Those who waited for the “big one” with social media, with surveillance Big Tech, with every other integrity breach for thirty years, are still waiting.

The Hindenburg of AI crashes every day and nobody really cares. Just look at Wooldridge.

George Bush Presidents’ Day Message is Bullshit Historiography About Human Trafficking

George Bush on Presidents’ Day is criticizing authoritarian overreach, which is like the arsonist complaining about fire codes.

As America begins to celebrate our 250th anniversary, I’m pleased to have been asked to write about George Washington’s leadership. As president, I found great comfort and inspiration in reading about my predecessors and the qualities they embodied. […] Few qualities have inspired me more than Washington’s humility.

Humility? Hold on a minute, pardner.

The man who launched two unjustified wars on fabricated or inflated pretexts, authorized warrantless mass surveillance, torture, and indefinite detention, and whose administration’s “unitary executive” theory laid the legal groundwork Trump is now exploiting, including the “unlawful combatant” designation now being repurposed for Caribbean special operations. The man who created today’s Frankenstein, is now saying someone should do something about it because… humility?

Yeah, dude. You made this.

  • Remember Bush deploying ICE in 2006 for “US secret prisons and twilight raids on immigrant homes“?
  • Remember Bush deploying Rove in 2008 to spin political disinformation?

    There was a time when conservatives in America demanded a strong foundation in learning from well-known scholars and history precisely to fearlessly navigate new ideas. Strangely, Rove and pals have been able to hijack the group and turn it into drones waiting for instruction (e.g. fascism).

Bush’s absence of humility didn’t just create Trump’s legal architecture for authoritarianism, his administration built the shameless propaganda infrastructure that shoved the conservative base all the way into fascism.

This new Bush essay’s appeal to Washington’s “humility” is itself a Rove-style move: wrapping authoritarian complicity in aspirational language. It reads less like principled dissent and more like legacy management, distancing himself from the monster his own administration incubated, while enabling it to continue.

Invoking stories of Washington is always fraught with historiography. The voluntary relinquishment narrative that Bush tries to sell us is totally mythologized. Washington stepped down in part because he was exhausted, politically battered by partisan press, and understood a third term was politically untenable. It was not some noble philosophical commitment to republican virtue. The Bush hagiography serves the same function it always has: making supreme power appear self-limiting by nature rather than admit the contested struggle that actually forms democracy.

Bush is pumping deep propaganda about the man who owned over 300 enslaved people, pursued runaways relentlessly, rotated them through Philadelphia to exploit a loophole in Pennsylvania’s gradual abolition law, and presided over a frontier policy of indigenous displacement. Bush calls out the defining motivational characteristic of Washington, human trafficking operations, and lands on “humility” and “self-restraint“?

You can’t model “putting the good of the nation over self-interest” while literally owning human beings as property.

Look at Georgia in 1733, Vermont in 1777, Carter 1793 who freed all his slaves and called out Washington for selfish refusal.

Georgia’s ban fifty years prior, and then Vermont’s constitution in his face, as well as Pennsylvania openly targeting Washington’s slaves, established that abolition wasn’t some anachronistic standard being imposed retroactively. The legal and moral frameworks existed and Washington was hiding and running. He knew, he wanted to be on the wrong side. He calculated. He moved against the entire world banning slavery, to selfishly force a new country to preserve and expand it instead.

Understand that Carter wasn’t some distant man from Washington. He was a hugely successful Virginia planter who looked at the same institution of human trafficking that Washington dreamed of profits from and said no. Carter shut it down.

It’s literally like someone today looking at Epstein and saying no. Who didn’t say no? That’s Washington.

Epstein and Trump

Every generation of powerful elites produces legal architectures for dehumanizing people for value extraction while maintaining plausible deniability, and then produces apologists who write fraudulent essays about humility after the damage is done.

George should know George better. His history illiteracy continues the tragedy.

Think about the Caribbean war crime operations where Trump is using Bush’s own “unlawful combatant” framework. We have two presidents implicated in connected dehumanizing legal architectures, with one writing hagiography about the other.

In short, as a historian, here’s a scientific measurement of the Bush Presidential message:

Trump Fires the Troops He Just Forced to Register for Their Own Protection

James C. Scott wrote about a concept of legibility in Seeing Like a State — the idea that centralized power first needs to make populations readable before it can act on them.

There is a specific cycle by which legibility is achieved through voluntary compliance rather than surveillance. The state doesn’t need to find you if it can get you to identify yourself for targeting. Recently the U.S. government suddenly, illogically began requiring gun owners to register gender, under threat of felony charges for refusal.

The outcome of this type of registration pressure is consistent across five centuries: defiance or evasion — the behaviors the system initially punished — become retroactively the safer choice. People were told the rules would protect them, in order to trick them into compliance.

The Trump Trap Cycle

First he requires registration, promising protection. Then he does the opposite, uses the registry for removal. The people who trusted Trump enough to comply with him are the ones most exposed when he turns on them.

Every example below involves a group that was economically or militarily useful. Conversos held positions. Armenians dominated commerce. Jewish Germans were foundational to industry, agriculture, science and professionalism. Trans troops were serving. The trap targets the productive to weaken the state.

US Trans Military Ban: 2018–

1. Register First-term bans serving trans troops, only allowing them to remain active if they accept an official gender dysphoria diagnosis
2. Comply Trans service members obtain diagnosis through official military medical channels, building documented records
3. Normalize Diagnosed troops continue serving, deploy, get promoted; the system appears to be working long enough to increase participation
4. Repurpose Second-term administration uses the gender dysphoria diagnosis records that it required to identify and forcibly remove troops
5. Punish compliance Undiagnosed trans troops are harder to identify and remove; the honest and open ones are punished the most. Morale plummets, as troops are incentivized to lie and passively disobey

Spanish Inquisition: 1478–1609

1. Register Jews and Muslims told to convert and register as conversos or moriscos to remain in Spain
2. Comply Conversos are baptized, registered in parish records, hold public positions
3. Normalize Conversos integrate into Spanish society, some rise to prominence in church and government
4. Repurpose Inquisition uses baptismal and parish records to investigate conversos for secret Jewish or Islamic practice
5. Punish compliance Crypto-Jews who never converted are harder to find than registered conversos under Inquisitorial scrutiny

Ottoman Empire: 1839–1915

1. Register Non-Muslim communities required to register through the millet system for legal autonomy and protection
2. Comply Armenians comply, build institutions within the framework; community rolls, church records, and tax registries formalize their legibility
3. Normalize Armenian communities prosper visibly within the system for decades, holding professional and commercial positions
4. Repurpose Registration infrastructure becomes the targeting mechanism for the 1915 deportations and massacres
5. Punish compliance The most administratively legible communities are the most efficiently destroyed; those outside the registration system are harder to locate

Rwanda: 1933–1994

1. Register Belgian colonial authorities require ethnic classification — Hutu, Tutsi, or Twa — on national identity cards
2. Comply Rwandans carry classified identity cards for sixty years as a routine fact of life
3. Normalize The cards become ordinary bureaucratic documents; ethnic classification feels administrative, not existential
4. Repurpose During the 1994 genocide, identity cards become the sorting mechanism at militia checkpoints
5. Punish compliance Possession of a Tutsi card is a death sentence at the roadblock. Those who had earlier petitioned to change their classification, or obtained false papers, survive at higher rates

Nazi Germany: 1932–1945

1. Register Nazi census and civil registry laws require declaration of religion and ancestry; Nuremberg Laws, based on American racism, formalize racial categories
2. Comply Jewish citizens register with Nazi authorities, carry identification, appear in population databases
3. Normalize Early restrictions feel manageable; emigration seems like overreaction to many
4. Repurpose Census and registration data feed deportation logistics; IBM tabulation systems sort populations for ghettoization and mass extermination
5. Punish compliance Jews who registered are systematically located; those who obtained false papers or fled early survive at higher rates

Soviet Union: 1932–1944

1. Register Internal passport system requires citizens to declare nationality on identity documents
2. Comply Citizens dutifully file nationality declarations on internal passports
3. Normalize Registered nationalities live and work normally for years or decades
4. Repurpose Stalin uses nationality registrations to identify entire ethnic groups — Chechens, Crimean Tatars, Volga Germans — for mass deportation
5. Punish compliance Undocumented individuals are invisible to the deportation apparatus

Russia: 2012–

1. Register 2012 law requires NGOs receiving foreign funding to register as “foreign agents” — framed as transparency, not restriction
2. Comply Organizations register to continue operating legally; the alternative is criminal prosecution
3. Normalize Registered organizations continue working, albeit stigmatized; the label feels bureaucratic, survivable
4. Repurpose The registry becomes the shutdown list. Registered organizations face inspections, fines, forced closure, and criminal charges against leadership
5. Punish compliance Organizations that registered are systematically dismantled. Those that refused and went underground or dissolved early are harder to prosecute retroactively

China: 1958–1966

1. Register Hukou household registration system requires citizens to declare locality and class background — landlord, rich peasant, capitalist, worker, poor peasant
2. Comply Citizens register their class origins as a routine administrative requirement
3. Normalize Class labels become part of everyday bureaucratic life; the economic realities they describe fade but the categories persist
4. Repurpose During the Cultural Revolution, registered class backgrounds become targeting lists for persecution, forced labor, and execution
5. Punish compliance The bureaucratic category outlives any economic reality it once described; those who honestly declared prosperous origins are persecuted for a past that no longer exists

The gap between registration and repurposing is compressing. Spain took generations. Nazi Germany took years. The trans military ban took one presidential term. Digital infrastructure means Phase 1 through Phase 4 can collapse into a single policy cycle. The gun registration move is Phase 1 for the next target population, running while Phase 5 of the current one is still playing out. Trump is running multiple trap cycles simultaneously at different stages.

The faster the cycle, the faster the damage compounds. Every administrative trap degrades every future administrative process. Census participation drops. Medical disclosure drops. Voluntary compliance with anything drops.

The trap is an institutional autoimmune disorder that destroys the state’s ability to govern the next population it needs to make legible. The targeting falls apart, as fighting is turned within, and severe dysfunction takes over.

The trap selects against institutional loyalty, instead demanding Trump loyalty. The people most aligned with necessary institutional values — troops who believed in the Constitution enough to work within it and believe in law and order — are punished the most.

The Trump mechanism is anti-meritocratic as a loyalty test. Those least mentally fit to serve take over, because they’re the most willing to serve Trump.

Elon Musk has been a frequent promoter of an AfD (Nazi) Party in Germany, which generates widespread disgust and protests such as this graffiti outside the Tesla factory.