Category Archives: Energy

China backs down on aid-for-oil in Sudan?

The Economist reports that as the crisis in western Sudan continues to worsen, the UN finally might actually be asked to engage.

SINCE the tragedy in Darfur, Sudan’s western region, began three years ago, at least 200,000 people — some say more than 300,000 — have died; another 2m, in a population of 6m, have been displaced, many of them fleeing across the border into Chad; […] Now, belatedly, the UN is likely, as a last resort, to send blue helmets to Darfur. The United States, which two years ago accused the Sudanese government of genocide, is driving the plan, and opposition to it is fading. The Sudanese government in Khartoum, which has armed and encouraged the mounted Arab militias, or janjaweed, responsible for most of the killing, has stopped denouncing the UN intervention idea out of hand. The AU, whose peacekeepers have proved sadly unable to stop the janjaweed’s campaign of rape, murder and pillage, has acknowledged that it needs the UN’s help. And even China, which had opposed any UN intervention for fear of annoying Sudan’s murderous government, from which it buys vast dollops of oil, is now unlikely to object.

Most of the oil companies have withdrawn from the Sudan already, while China has taken the opportunity to expand control of the oil companies and establish itself as the Sudan’s largest trading partner. And yet, as the article points out, the UN presence might actually be a NATO mission in conjunction with the African Union.

It’s not clear if this supports the Whitehouse strategy or is happening in spite of it, since Bush quietly lobbied to neuter the Darfur Peace and Accountability Act in Congress (apparently as the Sudanese government was seen as an ally in the war on terror).

China had claimed to be innocently perfoming aid-for-oil through “non-interference in domestic affairs”, but in reality they armed the Islamic government in Khartoum, undoubtedly leading directly to the genocide in Darfur through air/ground superiority. On the other hand they also provided a fair number of soldiers to the UN for other conflict areas in Africa. In any case, it is clear that the US again may be perceived to be weakening in influence as China’s participation was needed in order for the UN to be an effective force in the region.

One could almost argue that China took a page out of the Cold War playbook and knowingly destabilized the region in order to facilitate investment and then only just approved the use of NATO forces to secure access to resources in northern Africa, under the guise of humanitarian assistance…

The state of Los Angeles

Smog Layer Amazing. The New York Times reported that more than a quarter of the smog in Los Angeles is generated in China, and it may soon increase to a third or more. This reminds me of two things, the death of the German forests due to acid rain and the supposed fall-out down-wind (e.g. the jetstream flows from Asia into the US) from nuclear warfare. Looking out the plane window last evening I couldn’t help but notice a thick brown layer hovering over LA. For some reason that reminded me of noisy drunk Bulgarians smoking profusely as we shared cabins on a train out of Denmark. If I hunched over far enough (waist-height) I found I could keep my head just below the dense hovering smoke, but it was uncomfortable and still smelled bad.

Soup of Los Angeles The mish-mash of developments also stood out as vastly different than the old science fiction predictions of gleaming lights and shiny buildings all competing for your attention in a dark pitch. Instead I found myself gazing across a bland grey-brown mish-mash; unremarkable features crammed together to form a meaningless and seemingly infinite series of criss-cross homes, warehouses, and roads. The future may not be so much about confidentiality as simple integrity. An overwhelming amount of data can create a kind of secrecy, but the ability to find meaning in the mess is likely to be seriously threatened.

Unusually open road in LAAnd that brings me to driving in LA. The new GPS navigation tools are far superior to their predecessors. I was able to punch in my destination and then sit back as a soothing european-accented cyber-female voice kept me on track, “left, then right, then left, then right again”. An impossible maze with some of the worst drivers in the world, yet my navigator was able to present meaningful data with only two minor mistakes. The locals fervently try to wash their vehicles into a gleaming and shiny spot of pride, but in reality nothing really stands out other than the ongoing sea of brake-lights and street lamps. A vehicle itself fails to give anything lasting or meaningful (aside from the hidden engineering), especially when compared to a clean park with a fountain, or the ability to actually see clouds and stars. But don’t try to tell that to Jay Leno…

The danger from this awful crisis of data and over-vehicularization seems to have compelled the LA police to consider firing sticky-GPS units at fleeing motorists. The LA Times reports that this is expected to end high-speed car chases. I would expect that countermeasures might be fairly easy to develop, like driving away, jumping out and tossing the locator onto another vehicle, and then continuing to drive.

A small number of patrol cars will be equipped with the compressed air launchers, which fire the miniature GPS receiver in a sticky compound resembling a golf ball, for four to six months as a trial.

Maybe the thing has some fancy hooks or a harpoon-like barb to prevent removal…if not, than I don’t expect a revolution from this technology, especially if a motorcyclist is fleeing. It may help in a few cases initially, but the idea of disabling the electronics on a getaway car seems far more effective to me (particularly since it halts the vehicle and therefore lessens the threat to innocent bystanders down the road). I can see where they are headed, and it begs the question of whether they are trying to fix the symptom rather than address the root causes. Several times last night I was over-taken by squads of squad cars on their way to something urgent and it brought to mind that it is often better to fix the leaky roof than to innovate with mop technology.

Move on from Enron?

The BBC takes a look at the impact of Enron on the city of Houston. Beyond all the corruption, fraud, sad stories and bankruptcy of the company, their report concludes with a comment of hope:

“But again, this is a city that doesn’t want to remember. They’re not introspective – they just pick themselves up and start over again. That’s what they’ve done.”

And that’s fine, unless it takes you right into the next Enron. The whole point of the Freudian revolution in psychology, I thought, was to actually deal with the issues in a frank and open manner in order to avoid repeating mistakes. I still remember when companies in California were told to completely shut down operations during rolling brown-outs, only to find out that Enron manufactured the shortages.

Not wanting to remember might make it easier to start anew, but if the US does not address energy market corruption the citizens/companies will suffer the same or even worse pain in the future. If you listen to Cheney, you might start to think that the “broken-window fallacy” could become a major policy platform for economic success:

“You’ll thank me for rebuilding your house”
— But my house is still standing
“You’ll thank me for renting you a demolition crew when you have to clear the rubble from your lot”
— What rubble? The house is still standing
“You’ll thank me for burning your house down when the police have to take it over”
— What? Why would the police take it over?
“You’ll thank me for sending the police to get rid of the problem with your neighbors”
— But there’s nothing wrong with the neighbors
“You’ll thank me for buying the properties next door and renting them out to people of my choosing”
— Wait a minute…

Success for the Cheney companies that run energy and reconstruction projects, that is. Failure for the economy.

Hot Lawns

Just read an amusing article in the Guardian about using your lawn to heat your home, based on the concept of heat pumps.

With fossil fuels becoming alarmingly expensive, this environmentally friendly and low-cost alternative to gas central heating is finally coming into its own in the UK. It is incrediblyeffective, capable of achieving 400% efficiency – giving out more energy (typically 3 to 4 kilowatts) than the householder puts in to run it (typically 1KW). By comparison, an average gas boiler works at 90% efficiency at best.

According to Professor David Reay, of Heriot-Watt University, an expert on heat pumps, little can be said against them. Variants that extract heat from outside air perform less well in cold weather, just when the heat is needed most.

I thought the close of the article was insightful:

So if heat pumps are such a great idea, why haven’t they caught on before? “Gas has been cheap, and the British are capital-averse,” sighs Tony Bowen [president of the Heat Pumps Association, the UK trade body]. “As a nation, we are bad at investing in low long-term running costs.”

It goes far beyond the nation…but it is good to see the UK seeking less dependence on oil as well as more distributed/resiliant sources of energy.