Clarence “Pinetop” Smith (June 11, 1904 – March 15, 1929) plays Pine Top Blues, via the Internet Archive:
Category Archives: Poetry
Precedent Laundering: The Noriega Panama Lie Covering Venezuela Crimes
The American government is spraying disinformation about Panama history in order to cover current crimes in Venezuela.
Some reporters foolishly repeat this disinformation and invert the actual sequence and legitimacy markers. Here’s an example from Politico:
The closest recent analogue for the Maduro prosecution is the trial of former Panamanian President Manuel Noriega, who was seized by U.S. troops in 1990.
No, no and no.
| Panama 1990 | Venezuela 2026 |
| 1988 indictment, Dec 1989 invasion | 2020 indictment, NO invasion until Jan 2026 |
| Nullified election to restore | NO democratic process, foreign military administration |
| Panama declared war on US | NO threat from Venezuela |
| US Marine killed at checkpoint | NO threat to US personnel |
| Months of sanctions, diplomacy exhausted | NO alternatives demonstrated |
| Elected president (Endara) sworn in | NO legitimate government allowed |
| “Restore democracy, protect canal” | NO democracy, “run the country, extract the oil” |
| US withdraws after transition | NO end, occupation announced |
Invasion of Panama was condemned as illegal because it violated international law. But it used several obvious procedural markers of legitimacy: triggering events (American killed at a checkpoint), an elected president to install, stated limited objectives, actual withdrawal. Panama also lacked congressional authorization since Bush acted unilaterally. These are grains of truth being used to build the propaganda comparing it to Venezuela. The differences matter far more than the similarities. Congress subsequently acquiesced to Panama partly because of those legitimacy markers.
Venezuela has none.
Or to be more precise, Venezuela’s claimed justifications are all contradictions and self-destruct on contact: “law enforcement” meant a “War Department” bombs military bases, “not an invasion” is followed by “we now run the country to ‘rebuild’ the oil.” What’s the plan? The closest actual precedent is Hitler’s 1938 Lebensraum. The story can’t survive a single press conference because there is no coherent legal theory—only force.
“TAKE THE OIL,” [self-proclaimed Nazi] Fuentes posted on social-media app Telegram on Saturday. “THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE IS OURS.”
Venezuela uses the outcome of Panama (courts accepted Noriega’s prosecution after Delta Force failed to assassinate him) to justify skipping everything that gave Panama even its thin legitimacy. The reasoning becomes that courts won’t review how illegal custody was obtained, therefore any indictment at the end justifies any means of military action, even 1938 Nazi doctrine.
That’s not precedent, that’s laundering state crimes into military dictatorship. American media are taking the grain of truth (courts deferred) and stripping the context (why they deferred) to authorize something structurally opposite.
Opposite.
Think about what it means when opposites are presented by a government as the same. Inversion of meaning is definitional to fascist rhetoric.
Snow Globe: CIA Shows AI Use in Historiography Fabrication Engine
The official etymology of “snow globe” from a 2024 arXiv paper about AI war games is “a simulated snowstorm contained in a glass orb, and by analogy this work is a simulated crisis self-contained in software”.
We introduce “Snow Globe,” an LLM-powered multi-agent system for playing qualitative wargames. With Snow Globe, every stage of a text-based qualitative wargame from scenario preparation to post-game analysis can be optionally carried out by AI, humans, or a combination thereof.
But let’s be honest, “snow job” is the better name, as vintage intelligence community slang for exactly what the arXiv paper is actually talking about: overwhelm a target with plausible-sounding material until they stop interrogating the premises.
The globe as the scope is comprehensive, it’s planetary. We are talking here about a paper describing a global disinformation machine that:
- Takes 496 real historical crises as training data.
- Generates “plausible” blends of fact and fiction by design.
- Segments output by psychological persona type.
- Treats confabulation as a core feature.
- Runs thousands of automated iterations to optimize framing.
News flash (pun intended obviously), this does NOT describe an analyst training tool. It is a very fancy historiography fabrication engine. A mythology machine. An intelligence waffle iron.
It produces believable sounding precedents on demand, like historical analogies that feel authoritative but are computationally optimized to move specific audience segments toward predetermined conclusions.
Let me explain how this works in real life.
The nails-on-chalkboard contradictions about President Truman being spread all over the world right now serve as proof of concept. Within small targeted communities, targeted lies stick like peanut butter. The Trump operation spreads the following contradicting narratives all at the same time:
- MAGA frame: “Department of War is a title that restores founding strength, by reversing Truman for being too weak and woke”
- Constitutional conservative frame: “Truman was strong and brave, he did Korea without Congress, and the big man established precedent”
- Interventionist hawk frame: “We’re back to winning, like before the weak-kneed Truman messed it all up”
- Legal skeptic frame: “America in Panama 1989 was perfectly normal”
Yeah, what a mess. Internally, each frame is meant to be coherent, despite contradicting other frames. Collectively, it makes zero sense. It’s a “power” transfer model that bypasses the cognitive defenses of isolated communities.
The “snow job globe” performs computationally generated targeting of weighted personas from a crisis database. But I guarantee you that the algorithm cherry-picking Reagan invading Panama is not good at historical analysis. It’s a tell, like when an algorithm draws human hands with eight fingers.
Panama? Really? Let me be clear here, because I know this historiography is going to grow legs.
Panama was never an arrest operation. Delta Force were sent to kill Noriega ASAP, right after a dramatic prison breach. It was a full invasion of nearly 30,000 troops causing over 500 Panamanian deaths and widespread destruction from bombing. The guy who ordered the invasion, President Bush, ran the CIA when it had Noriega on their payroll ($200,000/yr) throughout the 1970s. The US indictment of Noriega was after their own operation of him, as he became politically inconvenient (e.g. refused to aid Contras). It was violent regime change (UN 44/240) that ended with a kangaroo court. The CIA used a show trial to cover themselves.
The Snow Globe algorithm is pattern-matching on the cover stories, not real history or the actual operations.
I see a retrieval system mining a crisis database, popping out what it incorrectly thinks is “likeliest” analogy for “regime change via arrest warrant.” Imagine an analyst typing police act… and the algorithm says “did you mean Panama?” It’s like the autocorrect concept has been pushed all the way into automation of autocratic aggression. What could go wrong?

The “open source” release is to legitimize this rushed AI methodology before anyone notices what has been deployed operationally. It’s the same pattern we saw with the torture memos. Publish the methodology in legitimate venues first. Then when the operation surfaces, the defense is “established practice.” Peer-reviewed literature shows up as bad stuff too-late-to-stop-now.
The OLC memos came out through official channels, got cited as “legal guidance,” and by the time anyone traced the circularity (DOJ asks DOJ if DOJ actions are legal, DOJ says yes), the practices were institutionalized. Snow Globe goes to same laundromat: IQT builds it, CIA tests it, Studies in Intelligence publishes it, and now the methodology has institutional provenance. Challenge it and you’re challenging “peer-reviewed research.”
Fabricated historical analogies clearly already leak into White House fact sheets (they can’t seem to get Truman right, let alone Roosevelt), and now all the laundered and targeted snow job machine work can plausibly be called “research outputs.”
Relevant Timeline:
- April 2024: arXiv paper drops, GitHub goes public. Academic legitimization.
- April 2025: CIA-IQT joint war game. Operational testing.
- September 2025: “Department of War” rebrand. Symbolic infrastructure deployed.
- December 2025: Studies in Intelligence publication. Institutional canonization.
- January 2026: Venezuela. Live fire.
We are looking at nine months from intelligence waffle iron “research collaboration” to airstrikes justified by contradictory historical framing targeting different constituencies.
The machine takes raw crisis data and stamps out shaped narratives from the same batter, using different molds for different consumers.
Their “persona” system clearly skips right past understanding psychology; it’s about setting up a topographical grid for carpet bombing. Pacifist, Aggressor, Tactician, Strategist aren’t analytical lenses. They’re targeting categories with an architecture that treats confabulation as the product, not the bug.
Snow Globe fabricates, then it iterates to improve fabrications. The paper says it can run “multiple iterations of fully automated games to anticipate possible outcomes.” That’s A/B testing at speed. The system is meant to rapidly learn what sticks to which audience, then optimize and information bomb the hell out of them.
Every LLM developer was being taught hallucination is bad, yet this system flips the entire script into weaponizing hallucination as if it’s magic agitation juice. The explicit statement that blending facts with fiction is “actually a benefit” isn’t a research finding. It’s a capability specification for snowing people around the globe.
The Nazis Wore Red: A Curious Case of Color-Correction in Contemporary Fascist Cinema
One does not typically expect to find oneself arguing with a film’s color palette for Nazis. Yet here we are. A new Italian film isn’t making just a palette mistake, however, it’s systematically reconstructing fascism as its exact opposite.

Silvio Soldini’s Le assaggiatrici (2025) is based on Rosella Postorino’s bestselling 2018 Italian novel by the same name about Hitler’s food tasters at the Wolfsschanze. In German it’s titled Die Vorkosterinnen.

It has arrived to generally favourable notices. The performances are creditable. The tension is effectively sustained. The director has stated, in interviews with Deutsche Welle and elsewhere, that he prioritises “emotional truth” over historical precision, which seems like a defensible artistic position, and one that accounts for certain liberties taken with the source material.
What it does not account for is the film’s extraordinary disinformation decision to wash the entire Nazi apparatus in petrol (teal).
Chromatic History of National Socialism
Adolf Hitler was many things. Indifferent to visual propaganda definitely was not among them.
His very particular selection of red, white, and black for the visual identity of a Nazi was not accidental. Hitler addressed the question directly in Mein Kampf, explaining that Imperial German red was deliberately chosen for psychological impact. He wanted its association with revolution, its capacity to command attention, its physiological effect on the blood and nerves. The Nuremberg rallies were intentionally seas of red. The swastika banner was designed, by Hitler’s own account, to be impossible to ignore.
This was, one must acknowledge, a propaganda achievement from the lessons of WWI (e.g. Woodrow Wilson’s belief in spectacle as a weapon, leading to Edward Bernay’s publication of a propaganda bible). The Nazis understood from the last war, if not many before them, that militant power and rapid disruption comes not merely through argument but through aesthetic experience. The red was aggressive, confident, seductive. It promised antithesis, rupture, transformation. It stirred.
Historians have documented this extensively, leaving zero doubt. The visual architecture of fascism was Albert Speer’s Cathedral of Light, Leni Riefenstahl’s geometric masses of uniformed bodies, and most of all the omnipresent crimson banners.

The threat of burgundy covering Europe was not incidental to National Socialism but constitutive of it.
The Fiction of a Teal Reich
In Soldini’s film, none of this exists.
The SS uniforms, which on set were presumably some variant of field grey, have been color-graded into a cold greenish blue. This is what Europeans might call petrol, or an American teal. The train carriages are teal. The Wolfsschanze shadows are teal. The very air of occupied Poland appears to have been filtered through Caribbean seawater.

Americans thinking of azure blue vacations of peace and tranquility will be shocked to find this movie painting SS officers in the wrong palette.
Meanwhile, the women who are the victims, unwilling food tasters conscripted into service under threat of death, are dressed almost uniformly in burgundy and brown.

Warm tones. The color family of the swastika banner is applied to the victims, as if to invoke and rehydrate the Hitler propaganda of young beautiful Aryan women in danger. Even the protagonist’s name is Rose!

The shallow symbolic intention seems transparent: teal is meant to convey cold machinery of death versus flushed cheeks of red as a warm human vulnerability. Petroleum versus blood. It is the sort of color theory one encounters in undergraduate film studies seminars, and it is executed competently enough.
The difficulty is that it ends up ironically being fascist propaganda because it is precisely backwards.
Hitler Was an Inversion Artist
Consider what the audience is being taught.
A viewer encountering this film, especially the younger viewer for whom the Second World War is ancient history, absorbs the following visual grammar: Fascism is cold. Fascism is teal and grey and clinical. Fascism looks like a hospital corridor, or a Baltic winter, or an industrial refrigeration unit.

False.
This is not what fascism looked like. It rose, in fact, as the exact opposite.

Fascism in Germany was always meant by Hitler to be red hot. It was his vision of Imperial red, white and black for stirring reactions and emotive attachment. It was torchlight and drums and the intoxication of abrupt mass belonging and sudden purpose. It was institutional drug and drink abuse to dispense rapid highs.
The Nazis did not present themselves as slow and precise, bureaucrats of byzantine rules. That was how they aspired to operate, but not how they recruited or actually functioned. They presented themselves as easy vitality, as rapid revolution, as blood and fire and national resurrection.
They were the cheap promise and marketing of Red Bull, Monster drink, 5 hour energy shot, not bowls of slow cooked hearty soup and vegetables with cream. “Fanta” was the Nazi division of Coca Cola, marketed like a Genozid Fantasie in a bottle.

The women, meanwhile, would not have dressed in coordinated burgundy. They were rural conscripts and Berlin refugees. They wore what they had. But even setting aside questions of costume accuracy, there is something perverse about rendering victims in the color palette of the perpetrator’s own propaganda. Notably the women also are portrayed as the smoking, drinking and promiscuous ones, while the Nazis are falsely described as teetotalers.
This reversal is painful to see, as Nazis are played in the film as completely inverted to what makes Nazism so dangerous.
“Emotional Truth” and Its Discontents
Director Soldini has explained that historical precision matters less to him than achieving an emotional resonance. One sympathises with the artistic impulse to generate ticket sales. The film is definitely not a documentary, and accuracy is a burden that can produce its own distortions that don’t translate well to audience growth.
But “emotional truth” is not a free pass to rehydrate Nazism. If your emotional symbolism teaches audiences to look for the wrong visual signatures, if it trains them to associate fascism with cold clinical teal rather than seductive aggressive red, then your emotional truth is propagating a functional falsehood that is dangerous.
This disinformation risk matters far more today than it might have in 1995 or 2005. We are presently surrounded by political movements that borrow freely from the fascist playbook whilst their critics struggle to name what they are seeing. A large part of that struggle is visual.
People have been taught, through decades of erroneously toxic films like this one, that fascism is ugly, grey uniforms and clinical efficiency and cold industrial murder. It was not.
They have not been taught that it looks like rallies of red hats and the intoxication of belonging to something larger than oneself.

They have not been taught to recognize the aesthetic of hot, rapid seduction and “day one” promises of disruption.

Hollywood Teal
One must also note that Soldini is operating within a system. The teal-and-orange color grade has become so pervasive in contemporary cinema that it functions as a kind of default reference.
He pulled the visual equivalent of scoring every emotional beat with swelling orchestra strings. Teal is what films lean on for tension, ignoring the fact that many people dream of holidays in a typical Caribbean blue scene like a Corona ad.

This creates a particular problem for historical cinema. When every thriller, every dystopia, every prestige drama reaches for the same cool teal palette to signal “this is danger,” the color loses its actual meaning.
It becomes mere convention.
And when that convention is misleadingly applied to the Third Reich, it overwrites the actual chromatic signature of the period with a contemporary aesthetic that signifies nothing more than “this film is a color-by-number for cinematic bad things.”
The Nazis were not teal.
But teal is the reduced palette of what serious films dip into, so the Nazis get rehydrated as such. And viewers start embracing Nazism again while thinking the cool, calm drab good guys are the enemy (as targeted by hot-headed attention seeking rage lords).

We Train Eyes to See the Train
One of the most annoying aspects of the film (SPOILER ALERT) is the director abruptly kills the Jew for trying to board the train of freedom. Of course in history the Nazi trains actually symbolize concentration camps, where anyone boarding faced almost certain death. Yet here’s a film that shows the inversion with trains as the freedom trail for the idealized Aryan woman working for Hitler, while the Jew was denied the ride.
The inspiration for the love story between Rosa and [SS leader] Ziegler stems from Woelk’s statement that an officer put her on a train to Berlin in 1944 to save her from the advancing Red Army, the armed forces of the Soviet Union. She later learned that all the other food tasters had been shot by Soviet soldiers.
That’s Nazi propaganda pulled forward, pure and unadulterated.
The love story in the film frames the SS leader as kind hearted savior, as he is shooting a Jew in the back so she couldn’t be liberated by approaching Allied soldiers, yet “saving” the Aryan girl by gifting her a rare spot on a Nazi train.
The film covers the protagonist’s hands in the blood of the Jewish woman murdered by her SS lover, blood she stares at on the train, perhaps to emphasize how the Swastika was believed to be a symbol of being lucky at birth. She lived to be 91 thanks to the SS, who made sure that a Jewish woman didn’t get a spot on that train, just a bullet in the back.

And just to be clear, Judenhilfe (hiding or even befriending a Jew) was a capital crime for years, eliminating all doubt by killing anyone who doubted. An Aryan woman caught running beside the Jewish woman she was helping and defending would not have been spared when a SS officer opened fire. In the worsening Nazism logic over time, and thus especially by 1945, it would be like a policeman shooting the passenger in a criminal getaway car and then offering the driver a can of gas.
There is a reason disinformation historians care about such visual culture. Political movements are recognised, and hidden, partly through their weaponization of aesthetics. The person who knows that fascism comes wrapped in red flags of instant vitality and promises of national greatness is better equipped to identify it than the person who has been taught to feel disgust for cool grey of law and order, to hate calm bureaucrats in clinical blue corridors.
Soldini’s film, whatever its other merits, trains eyes to see the exact wrong thing. The good guy palette in reality is flipped to evil, audiences are pushed to embrace the palette of Hitler’s violent hate.
- Chromatic inversion (blueish Nazis, reddish victims)
- Behavioral inversion (abstemious Nazis, hedonistic women)
- Logical inversion (Murderous SS as loving saviors)
Soldini color-corrects and codifies fascism into something unrecognisable, antithetical. In doing so, it makes the real thing far harder to recognize correctly today when it flashes itself all around us, signaling as it always has.
The Nazis wore red for a reason.
Red was how they poisoned power.
It would be useful if we remembered this.
