Category Archives: Energy

America losing War on Terrorable Diseases

John Stewart has some razor-sharp analysis of the stem cell veto by President Bush. You have to watch this.

Incidentally, Senator Feinstein provides a crucial bit of information on the debate:

The Castle-DeGette legislation now approved by both the House and the Senate would make available for use stem-cell lines derived from embryos left over from in vitro fertilization clinics — embryos that are already slated to be disposed of and, therefore, it is difficult to understand the objections.

[…]

Let us be clear: We are talking about embryos that will be destroyed, whether or not this bill becomes law. It is an indisputable fact these embryos have no future.

I can think of nothing more ethical than using embryos that would otherwise be wasted, to generate new, viable stem-cell lines offering medical hope and promise to so many.

Is it that the President just opposed to progress? Hates science? How can it be that he would rather cells be destroyed than used to cure people of terminal and debilitating illnesses?

Maybe it’s just me, but this puts his position on emissions control and global warming in perspective. The official response seems to be that no one, even scientists, can really be certain of anything and therefore life as we know it must go on unchallenged. This reminds me of a VP many years ago who launched a product against the advice of the infosec team because “they can’t prove the risk is absolute”, whereas he said his resolve and faith of success were absolute. The company lost over $250K for the next seven days as their site failed and that VP was eventually let go because the negative economic impact of his highly anti-scientific approach was so readily apparent.

A similar theme apparently emerges with regard to the Bush administration’s new policy on agriculture and ranching. Environmental scientists and conservationists were recently told that they will not be allowed to form an opinion after only one year of apparent destruction by ranchers — a minimum of two years of data is required. In addition, the new policy is based on the declaration that “cattlemen themselves are the best stewards of the land”. Scary reasoning, as many have tried to point out:

“That’s an extremely unbalanced requirement,” said John Buckley, executive director of the Twain Harte-based Central Sierra Environmental Resource Center, “unless they’re also requiring that the public’s costs are taken into account.”

Buckley said that would mean the economic costs associated with degraded watersheds and damaged wildlife habitat also should be weighed in determining the future of public-land grazing.

Another case of externalities, where those who care about a balanced outcome try to show the long-term harm of not taking action, and the Bush administration shows its disdain for people who want to use a truly scientific approach to factoring risks.

Imagine this type of governance in information security or structural engineering, where experts would be told that they could not warn of critical flaws until months after discovery and users were already clearly harmed. Software companies gotta’ make money, right? Even then a security team might be told that software developers are the best stewards of the software and thus should ultimately decide when to fix a bug, if at all.

Back to economic and social considerations, it’s important to note how the Bush administration bends the term to suit their purpose. A look at the bigger picture makes it seem that they should reverse their own policy:

The ranchers pay $1.35 per animal unit month — the amount of forage required to feed a cow and a calf for one month.

This fee has remained unchanged for years, and is lower than fees charged for state or private lands. Past efforts to revise the grazing fee — including a 1991 proposal passed by the House to boost it to $8.70 — have collapsed on Capitol Hill.

“It really, truly is an abuse of the taxpayers to not at least charge fair market value,” Buckley said.

Ranchers clearly have some lobby power. Who will pay, though, if turns out that they were taking unfair advantage of the land and causing residual and external harm? Have you experienced the pesticides and herbacides that ruin drinking water and kill off the local flora and fauna? What about heavy metals from industry? Who pays for the clean-up of someone else’s folly? What if they are drunk or delusional? Differing values, it seems, are at the heart of the issue especially when obvious harm takes many years to see.

Plankton as fuel

More evidence that diesel engines are an excellent design today able to make use of clean and renewable fuels of the future:

A Spanish company claimed on Thursday to have developed a method of breeding plankton and turning the marine plants into oil, providing a potentially inexhaustible source of clean fuel.

Monitoring for structural failure

The sails on the new gargantuan $100 million luxury sailboat look awkward and inefficient to me, like wagon wheels on a modern sports car:

The Maltese sets sail

Built for venture capitalist Tom Perkins, the 87.5-meter yacht sports three 57-meter tall masts and each mast has 6 yards from which the sails hang. This design gives it a slight resemblance to a clipper ship.

A clipper ship? No. On second glance, I can see the wing-like properties of the sails perhaps equivalent to two modern sails laid opposite one another and connected together at the mast. Wonder what these hanging sails are made from and how long they are designed to last. Does each one furl into the boom above? This ship might be the largest, but I can’t believe it is the fastest, unless the term “personal yacht” somehow excludes the big trimarans and catamarans…or maybe just the word “yacht” excludes all the performance vessels. If you can’t beat ’em, build a new category?

Anyway, the masts have no stays and so I thought News.com‘s note about monitoring for failures is interesting:

The company inserted sensors into the composite mast to give the crew information on the forces on the mast and prevent the structures from being pushed to the breaking point.

This reminds me of the prediction that sailboats will lose their rigging just like the wires of airplanes gave way to the clean lines of modern wings. Composites are a critical part of this development. Everything large that tries to be efficient now depends so much on carbon fiber that information about its use must be one of the most important resources for the future.

Wait, I know why those sails look antiquated to me. Isn’t that a modern version of Admiral Zheng’s giant fleet in the 1400s? I bet the bazillionare owner read a book about Zheng and said “Oooh, I want one”:

Zheng

Ming dynasty records show that each treasure ship was 400 feet (122 metres) long and 160 feet (50 metres) wide. Bigger, in other words, than a football pitch.

Ok, the living space is obviously different, but that’s still a lot of monitoring for structural failure for over 500 years ago on many boats all significantly larger than this luxury yacht.

Bush and Putin go for a zero-emission spin

I found these images amusing. Usually you see state leaders in mile-long motorcades of gas-guzzling armored limos, but Bush and Putin were caught again by a Reuters photographer driving themselves in an electric car (Rice and Ivanov in the back) to the G8 Summit in St. Petersburg. If I’m not mistaken, that’s a vehicle produced by GM:

Putin around
Putin around…
Bush and Putin in Electric Car at G8
Does this car make me look concerned?

The funny background to these “Pathway” vehicles is that GM was strategically placing them in states (California) that threatened to enforce zero-emission standards. It’s a fair point that these things would replace the nasty small or even two-stroke utility carts found on limited-access low-speed pathways (like college campuses), but calling them part of a “fleet” of passenger vehicles was a calculated stretch to avoid the cost/benefit of real innovation in their vehicles.

I say they were actually part of a plan of attack by GM to undermine the intent of the zero-emissions mandate:

  • Use a loop-hole in the definition of a vehicle “fleet” to claim that go-carts could be included in their numbers (even though they are actually made by Club Car — it looks like a golf cart because…it is)
  • Give away the go-carts to universities and businesses on a free-lease deal to rapidly increase the numbers of go-carts “on the road”
  • Petition the NHTSA to restrict the use of these go-carts so no-one would actually be able to use them in regular traffic on regular roads (thus reducing use, or at least the risk from use). These go-carts were at some point called Neighborhood Electric Vehicles (NEV) and GM managed to get the government to require labels to warn of risks from riding in “mixed traffic” (Docket # NHTSA 98-3949). Apparently GM believed consumers need government intervention in some cases to help them make good decisions…
  • And last, but not least, lobby the federal government to fight an infamous court battle against zero-emissions mandates to win an injunction so that state zero-emission standards can not be forced upon manufacturers

See the irony in the photo yet? Bush helped kill-off the progress towards zero-emissions vehicles in the US, as some remember:

In 2001, GM, Daimler-Chrysler and the Justice Department filed an injunction against CARB arguing the ZEV Mandate violated the federal government’s right to control fuel economy. A district court in San Francisco agreed and GM cancelled the EV1 program.

I think the deadline might have been aggressive, but the real bottom line was that giant American car manufacturers wanted their base of consumers to want giant vehicles with high margins made to be more efficient, rather than smaller, more-efficient vehicles with low margins. Regulations to protect the manufacturers from liability, but no regulations that protect consumers from externalities. Short-term guaranteed profits over long-term risk.

Anyway, I guess it’s easy to want to kill a project that your supporters never believed in from the start, but then to parade around the G8 summit in the project that you killed, that’s just odd.

Something tells me that the lack of progress (as opposed to change) in Detroit has everything to do with an overly-conservative approach to the world that is at odds with the G8. The changes ahead are not only inevitable, but the longer they take to adjust to the new paradigms the more its going to rattle their cages. Europeans, South Americans and Asians are designing small, light and nimble electric vehicles while GM is…in denial.

Here’s a wonderfully insightful admission from GM Communications about the movie called “Who killed the Electric Car?“:

Although I have not seen the movie or received an advanced DVD as others have from the film’s producers, I can tell you that based on what I have heard there may be some information that the movie did not tell its viewers.

Haven’t seen it, don’t want to see it, don’t care what consumers say. I wonder if they’ve seen “Thank you for smoking“? These guys are first-rate spin-doctors. No need to see a movie to send out a response about what it does or doesn’t say in the movie. Classic. Here’s my favorite part:

GM is co-developing with DaimlerChrysler and BMW Group a new two-mode hybrid system for passenger vehicles. This new two-mode hybrid technology will debut next year in a Chevrolet Tahoe full-size SUV, which will offer a 25 percent improvement in combined city and highway fuel economy when joined with other GM fuel-saving technologies.

Really? We’re supposed to be wowed by a full-size SUV with 25% improvement in mileage? Let’s see, that factors to a change from 14-18mpg to 18-22mpg, and it depends entirely on “other GM fuel-saving technologies”. Stop the presses. Hold the line. Wait, I forgot to mention that they also boast of a “Saturn VUE Green Line hybrid this summer, which will offer the best highway fuel economy of any SUV (EPA estimated 32 mpg)”. It’s like 1975 all-over-again. I’m getting 38+mpg with my biodiesel engine today in a full-size wagon, and they’re calling 32mpg the future? Where are all those supposed billions in research dollars really going?

Seems to me that mileage for American vehicles went down over the past twenty years, which has the nasty result of fooling us into thinking a slight increase back to prior levels is some kind of improvement. Did you know that the Ford Model T engine ran 25-30mpg in the early 1900s? For what it’s worth it also only took 93 minutes to assemble and had a max speed of about 50mph. Not bad for an affordable neighborhood vehicle, eh? The recent announcement that after significant investments in technology a brand new Corvette can only achieve 28mpg (on the highway, downhill, with a strong tailwind and the clutch depressed, foot off the gas pedal) is truly a sad sign of the times. A hybrid-car has been proven to totally annihilate the Corvette on the line and still manage to keep superior efficiency. Change can be good, but GM seems both unwilling and unable to make the sort of real changes that will get us to a better vehicle today.

I’m not terribly optimistic either that GM has announced an alliance with DaimlerChrysler (and BMW group) to finally figure out how to make hybrids. After all this is the group of companies that killed the California zero-emissions mandate, right? Are they really trying to figure out hybrids to achieve low-emissions?

And finally, I have to say I’ve heard enough about fuel-cell vapor-ware already. Just another five years? If you think electric cars have hurdles ahead, fuel-cell is just getting started. Which means they are not much more impressive than the E85 engine. The fact is that mileage on ethanol is significantly lower than gas, so corn-based fuel makes a nice story to rattle around (especially in corn-market states) but in reality a Tahoe on E85 only gets 10-14mpg. No thanks. Diesel makes far more sense since you can take ethanol and mix it with used vegetable or animal oils to make biodiesel for a diesel-hybrid that gets 100+ mpg. And that’s not to mention “soybean-derived biodiesel gives more bang for the buck, yielding a 93% return on the energy investment used in its production, compared with a 25% return for ethanol” and “Biodiesel…could reduce emissions by 41% compared with regular diesel fuel. Ethanol replacement of gasoline could reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 12%”, according to a report in the LA Times. Since biodiesel can be made from just about any kind of oil (including waste oil from restaurants) the input model is far more sensible than a single-source like corn. It’s a technology available right now and the country is more than ready to convert to this low-emission high-power domestic fuel. In fact, I just filled up at a regular gas station down the street with B99 tonight.

b99

GM, where’s your passenger hybrid-diesel engine and why isn’t it at the G8?