Wolfowitz causes UK to back away from World Bank

The BBC ends their story about the current situation with a telling example of what happens when you put an American neo-conservative in charge of a global organization:

Oxfam and other campaigners such as Christian Aid say the World Bank’s current policies often leave people in developing countries worse off than before.

“Imagine what life would be like if you had to run every decision you made by your bank manager and if he or she didn’t like it, you would have to change it,” Christian Aid policy manager Anna Thomas said.

“That is the reality for many poor countries and they can’t just switch accounts.”

Christian Aid points to the example of Ghana where the World Bank’s demand for a ban on tariffs and subsidies for the poultry market has led to an influx of cheap European imports and seen many thousands of Ghanaians lose their jobs and livelihoods.

I remember Senator Bob Dole saying to me once that any country that does not allow American investors to own land is no country that deserves support. In other words, like the mob, we are the most powerful player and so if we help you we should own you. Or, even more pointedly, why would a bank help you unless it gave them control over your livelihood? Default on that loan, good-bye farm. Wolfowitz has taken this torch to the extreme at the World Bank. His aim clearly is to wrestle control of markets away from locals in order to enable foreign investment to move in on developing countries. He calls this a program to “tackle corruption”.

Do you get the irony? The American neo-conservatives label their opposition as corrupt because they sense that the playing field is stacked in a direction they dislike. So they change the rules in order to privilege themselves and their friends. In other words, they perform a forceful takeover in order to shift “corruption” heavily to their favor.

Opposition to this nonsense comes from more intelligent and humantiarian men like UK International Development Secretary Hilary Benn:

“But on other issues, particularly economic policy, developing countries ought to take their own decisions and I do believe that this is one of the ways that we can increase the voice of the poorest countries of the world,” he added.

I say “more intelligent” because Wolfowitz is undermining US long-term security and its image abroad for short-term gain by a select few who are already well-to-do. He foolishly believes that developing nations will be eternally grateful if you transfer respect and equity away from them in return for cheap goods made overseas.

Turnabout is fair play, as they say, so let us imagine for a minute that the World Bank was led by a Chinese economist. Now imagine that that person required countries to abide by their particular view of market rules (e.g. Communism or even Socialism) before they would allow money to be loaned for humanitarian aid and reconstruction. The US would howl with protests and claim unfair control was putting lives at risk and destroying the independence and freedom of a sovereign state. Or, perhaps, they would characterize the growth of Asian trade relations with Africa as yet another reason why Africans should surrender domestic control of their markets, as evidenced in this BBC story?

Written by World Bank Africa Region Economic Advisor Harry Broadman, the study further calls for Africa to reform its economies to better “unleash competitive market forces, strengthen its basic market institutions, and improve governance”.

It also wants to see African countries improve their infrastructure and customs arrangements.

Taken together it said such changes were “not only in the best interests of Africa’s economic development, but in China’s and India’s own economic fortunes”.

I seriously doubt Wolfowitz would want to see Chinese expansion in influence, especially over African oil, given his work on the Project for a New American Century along side Donald Rumsfeld, Dick Cheney, and Jeb Bush. On the other hand, Wolfowitz seems to act on ten year old information like pushing for the 1991 invasion of Iraq which he had formulated as a plan in 1976, and then pushing again for the 2003 invasion. So perhaps this former US State Department Assistant Secretary for East Asian and Pacific Affairs is still under the impression that China and India desperately need US assistance against Russia or some other threat.

With regard to the point made by Anna Thomas at the start of this entry, imagine that a bank told you that they would not loan you money to fix your plumbing or solve a health/safety issue unless you agreed to their code of conduct. They would further say that due to a low credit rating they see potential for corruption (you might pay your brother or neighbor to fix your plumbing, or you might not be able to repay the loan) and so they require you to accept their own company to perform the improvents. This company would be a large and influential entity of its own that you could not hold accountable and that you had no power to control or guide once they were working on the project — the company would report to the bank, not you. So if they decide to re-route all of your plumbing to your neighbor and then take the profits as “repayment”, what could you do about it? You took the money, the terms said you had to allow this company to set your policy for you, and the company begins to operate in a manner harmful to your best interests. Now what? Corruption is a relative term, in other words, and there does not seem to be much transparency or universal standard to Wolfowitz’s position. The natural result is a further decline in respect for the US and its policy-makers. Why should any country, developed or not, trust someone like Wolfowitz?

And finally, even if you are a fan of Wolfowitz and believe in his mission against corruption I challenge you to apply his standard universally. The US economist needs to take a long hard look in the mirror before s/he says that no country should be given loans unless they can eliminate corruption. The Sarbanes-Oxley Act was not a coincidence. Abramoff is not an exception, he is part of the new rule. And so a man who came to power through a system rife with corruption is on shaky moral ground when he points a finger abroad and tells others to clean up their act or forget humanitarian assistance. That is why I believe that his motive is actually to feed contracts to his preferred companies, and not eliminate corruption universally. Anti-corruption is just a catchy marketing phrase that Wolfowitz will use to attack his opponents with, as in “If you do not support my policy, you must be pro-corruption”. We can only hope, like the director who broke the HP board scandal, the world will have the courage and moral strength to stand up to a leader with questionable ethics.

And now for the lighter side of this story, the Onion reports that the US has announced it will dedicate $64 billion to undermine the Gates Foundation efforts:

“If they want to use this money to purify a well, we will be there to fill it in with bacteria-infested soil before they get the chance,” Negroponte said. “If they want to ensure that millions of children receive immunity shots for typhoid, whooping cough, or diphtheria, we will ensure that country’s medicine is never received.”

[…]

A CIA statement outlined phase one of the initiative, dubbed “Freeze And Punish,” to be spearheaded by the new counter-philanthropy unit. It will “focus on disrupting the Gates Foundation’s international support network by freezing the accounts of countries that attempt to use the financial aid, and then providing small arms to violent rebel movements to fight them.” This, combined with the release of over 10 million parasitic Guinea worms into their drinking water, is expected to severely impede Gates’ impact on Africa and the rest of the developing world.

Campaign Consumption in CA

Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger is on the campaign trail. Actually, he has a giant 40-foot recreational vehicle (RV) on the campaign trail that he is using to offer photo opportunities. His campaign stands for three things, as far as I can tell from the website:

  1. Fame
  2. Protection
  3. Consumption

I do not say this lightly, I am just trying to point out what the marketing effect is of a giant inefficient engine driving around the state and a website that says “Protecting…” on every page.

1) The fame message is obvious. Can’t underestimate the effect of a famous actor with a pleasant persona offering folks a photo-opportunity.

2) I have to admit from a security perspective the overwhelming use of a “protection” theme is a little disturbing. Is the idea to promote a message like “Anything you are afraid of, Arnold can protect you”? Seems plausable, given the image he has cultivated from the type of movies he has appeared in and the roles he usually plays (e.g. other than the ones opposite DeVito). Wonder if he will step down off the bus carrying a giant broad-sword or a 50 caliber machine-gun? “I will protect your dream!”

3) Seriously, though, with regard to consumption a quick review of the vehicle he is promoting led me to the rvforsaleguide.com site, which really puts Arnold’s campaign style in perspective:

most expensive per lineal foot of the factory built choices. Many new ones get less than 7 mpg, and 10+ year old units may not even get 5 mpg.

Surely he is driving a new one. Perhaps compared to a fleet of Hummers a single 40-foot RV is economical, but less than 7 mpg still seems rather crude as a campaign message given the bitter history of electric cars and alternative fuel in California. The bus is green, but is it green, if you know what I mean? Maybe it was painted green as a deliberate snub to environmentalists or to give it the appearance of concern about the environment without need for reality.

Arnold’s campaign says his aim is “Protecting the California Dream”, but to me this RV represents more of a late 1990s Texas or Detroit dream. Where is the hybrid technology or alternative fuel source? In other words if the dream is to build giant heavy buses that consume excessive amounts of petroleum then I am sure Ford, Firestone and companies like Bayoil have some campaign contributions headed his way.

Shame the JoinArnold campaign did not have the foresight to run the bus on alternative energy, since that might show some vision or more consistency with the “dream” theme. Instead, they are just pushing more hype and hypocricy, and that is hardly the stuff dreams are really made of.

Incidentally, Arnold’s RV is also a rather sad contrast to the famous green bus of the late US Senator Paul Wellstone. And that bus is apparently still being used, according to Wellstone Action:

The vintage green school bus, long a campaign fixture for the late Sen. Paul Wellstone, becomes training tool for progressive action Saturday in Bemidji.

Kuito, a child’s map of war and infinity

by Ana Paula Tavares in Lisbon, Angola

These children live free, while the clocks, jammed by bullets, are destined to repeat time, just as the to and fro of bells sounds the cycle of birth and death. They tame the silence, sowing laughter into the folds of day. There is still milk in their laughter, fermenting the hopes of an afternoon. Beyond the doors of houses, the children are exploring the labyrinthine walls. They have a key for everything–even to the stairs that they climb up to reach the sky, bared by a missing roof. They sleep on the ground, parched by bullets, under a sheet of stars that slowly descends until the light is eclipsed and night ushered in.

Interesting contrast. On the one hand I sense boundaries and depleted value in infrastructure, which succumbed to violent disagreement, while on the other a playful adaptiveness and growth that seeks to renew. Confinement versus access.

June 28th 2005, Kunar Province

Someone has posted a recount of a firefight between US SEALS and the Taliban in the Kunar Province of Afghanistan, which had disasterous results for the US:

The headquarters could see that the TEAM was encircled by bad guys and that the enemy was too close to the SEALs to use Air force close air support. A weather front was rapidly coming into the area and the SEAL Commander a Lieutenant Commander ask permission to launch his quick reaction force to go rescue his men.

[…]

Leadership requires having the guts to make a decision, based on analysis and forethought. You must totally recognize the risk and be ready to accept the results. The general in charge made the right call, he had to try to rescue the operators, we as American soldiers can not leave our people on the battlefield, every Airman, Marine, Sailor, Coast Guardsmen and Soldier has to know that when you go down range and things go wrong keep fighting and help will come.

It’s a tough story to read, but it gives a glimpse into the dangerous missions being waged in Afghanistan. The Chinook Helicopter site also mentions this mission and provides a great deal of information on the US helicopters struggling to survive extremely bad weather and rough terrain, as well as an apparent increase in hostile fire and opposition to US forces:

…Afghanistan, June 26, 2005. From U.S. and U.N. officials down to Afghan villagers, there is growing fear that this country may be at a seminal moment with three years of state-building in danger of succumbing to the barrage of violence.

The Chinook site also gives chilling details about another rescue operation called the Battle of Roberts Ridge that happened in 2002.

As I read these stories I can not help but recall a Soviet helicopter called the “Hind” by NATO (Mi-24) that was used in Afghanistan twenty years ago:

The Mujaheddin soon nicknamed the Hind the “devil’s chariot” and realized that their small guns were practically useless against its heavily armored hull. Bigger guns could bring down the Hind, but the real threat was from shoulder-launched, surface-to-air missiles, particularly the American heat-seeking Stinger, which the CIA began shipping to the Mujaheddin in large numbers starting in 1983. The Stinger could easily home in on either of the side-facing hot engine exhausts, located at the top of the fuselage near the rotor hub and bring down the helicopter. In response, the Soviets began fitting special covers over the exhausts to mix cooler air with the hot engine gases. This dramatically reduced losses but did not stop them completely and came with a price—the blocky covers slowed the helicopters down in flight, turning a fast, unmaneuverable helicopter into a slower, unmaneuverable helicopter. During the war, 333 Hinds were lost in combat; the number lost to operational accidents is not known.

The Afghan fighters have clearly continued to develop and advance their counter-helicopter tactics. More data on the losses suffered by the USSR in the 1980s, including helicopter casualties by year, can be reviewed here.

And finally, I noticed that the study of combat tactics in Afghanistan led a Major in the US Marine Corps to suggest rather ironically in 1985 that ground forces would be ill-equipped if they were to fight helicopters with surface-to-air missles:

Ground-based defense against enemy helicopters in the Marine Corps consists of small arms and the Redeye/Stinger man portable missile systems. The appearance of decoy flares on Soviet helicopters make the lethality of the Redeye/Stinger questionable, however. In any case, with only one battery of missiles per Marine Aircraft Wing, one must question whether there are sufficient numbers to provide adequate protection even if lethality is high.

Note, this was the same year that Gorbachev assumed leadership of the USSR and pushed for withdrawl negotiations to recommence. They had been stalled since 1982 but it was only after the Soviets were able to prop up the semblance of a local government and make declarations of a new constitution that they formally announced their withdrawl in 1987. The stories are sad, the lessons lost upon some even sadder.