Nashville’s Numbers: Low Unemployment Yet High Violent Crime

Nashville, Tennessee ranks among the lowest unemployment rates in the US with 3.6 percent, and yet it ranks the highest in violent crime. Nashville-Davidson County in 2016 recorded 1,102 violent crimes per 100,000 residents in 2016. (SF recorded 477.7, Chicago recorded 443.0, NYC recorded 354.9)

The crime data comes from the latest FBI records that show US crime overall remains at historic lows, yet since the current regime took federal office violent crime across the country has increased 3.4 percent.

The national numbers already have been explained in part by obvious fomenting of long-time domestic terror threats while doing less to protect Americans from them:

White supremacists in the United States killed more than twice as many people in 2017 as they did the year before, and were responsible for far more murders than domestic Islamic extremists, helping make 2017 the fifth deadliest year on record for extremist violence in America, a new report states.

Digging through the local Nashville data doesn’t immediately reveal such causation for violent crimes; however, with 3.6 percent unemployment it does challenge the common theory that better employment numbers inherently reduces crime.

Crime Mapping’s chart of one week of violent crimes, based on one month of data (Sunday is highest crime day, Monday lowest):

Crime Mapping’s map of one month of violent crime:

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